Monsoon current flows in next week |
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Jamshedpur, June 26: With rain clouds playing truant for over a fortnight, baffled weathermen are unable to say for sure when the monsoon flow will be activated over the state.
An India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast today said favourable conditions were developing over the Bay of Bengal and that would help in the advancement of south-west monsoon towards Jharkhand and Bihar, but not before another 3-4-days.
“As of now, the monsoon flow is not showing a definite pattern. Its nature has become unpredictable. We were expecting advancement towards Jharkhand due to the formation of a low-pressure area over coastal Orissa last evening, but today’s satellite pictures showed that the same had weakened. We are unable to draw a conclusion about the arrival of monsoon,” said F.I. Lashkar, a senior weather analyst at the Patna Meteorological Office.
Lashkar, however, did not rule out a miracle of nature. “Ever since a premature and weak monsoon was dragged in by cyclone Aila on May 25, the flow has remained dormant A sudden change in weather condition and wind pattern can revive monsoon currents.”
Referring to the IMD forecast, a duty officer at the Regional Meteorological Centre, Alipore, said: “The south-west monsoon has advanced into west Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and some parts of Orissa. The conditions will be favourable for Jharkhand and Bihar in the another 3-4 days.”
Met office records reveal that in five decades the south-west monsoon has never arrived in the state after June 28. It usually arrives four times between June 22 and 27. So, will the monsoon mock history this year?
“Yes, unless there is a sudden change in wind pattern,” maintained A. Wadood, a weather scientist at BAU, Ranchi.
“Abundant rain in July will make up for the deficit,” he added.
Director of Patna Met Office Animesh Chanda said that rain or thunderstorm would occur at a few places in the next 24 hours due to the local weather conditions.
“Satellite pictures showed rain-bearing clouds over Jamshedpur and its adjoining areas. We are expecting rainfall there.”
The local meteorological office today recorded a maximum temperature of 38.2°C, three notches above normal, while Ranchi recorded a near normal temperature of 35.5°C.
Though cyclonic circulation dragged down the maximum temperatures in the capital, steel city and several other districts, Daltonganj continued to sweat at 41.2°C, four degrees above normal.
http://www.telegraphindia.com/1090627/jsp/jharkhand/story_11165438.jsp